POWIP Piece of Work In Progress

15Apr/110

NPR, Belatedly, Acquires a Clue

As part of their policy of occasionally acquiring one after having their federal funding threatened. Memories, like the corners of my mind:

But it's just not the same. Now and then, small pockets of protesters still band together. On March 19, for instance, about 100 demonstrators — anti-war protesters marking the eighth anniversary of U.S. military involvement in Iraq — were arrested outside the White House.

"It's a far cry from the Bush years, when hundreds of thousands or millions marched against the war," David Boaz, executive vice president of the libertarian Cato Institute, writes on the Britannica website. He asks the same question: Whatever happened to the anti-war movement?

In the post, he points out that American protests against wars seemed to stop the moment Barack Obama was elected president in 2008. "Maybe anti-war organizers assumed that they had elected the man who would stop the war," he observes.

But the wars have continued. More than two-thirds of Americans have opposed military intervention in Libya, Boaz reports, and nearly two-thirds of Americans — a number that is up dramatically since early 2010 — believe the war in Afghanistan hasn't been worth fighting. "Where are their leaders?" Boaz wants to know. "Where are the senators pushing for withdrawal? Where are the organizations?"

He concludes that the anti-war activity in the United States — and around the world — a few years ago "was driven as much by antipathy to George W. Bush as by actual opposition to war and intervention."

To buttress his assertions, Boaz cites a recently published study of anti-war protesters. The research was conducted by Michael Heaney of the University of Michigan and Fabio Rojas of Indiana University. It concludes that the anti-war movement in America evaporated because Democrats — inspired to protest by their anti-Republican feelings — stopped protesting once the Democratic Party achieved success in Congress in 2006 and then in the White House in 2008.

"As president, Obama has maintained the occupation of Iraq and escalated the war in Afghanistan," Heaney, an assistant professor of organizational studies and political science, said in a news release. "The anti-war movement should have been furious at Obama's 'betrayal' and reinvigorated its protest activity."

Instead, Heaney continued, "attendance at anti-war rallies declined precipitously and financial resources available to the movement have dissipated. The election of Obama appeared to be a demobilizing force on the anti-war movement, even in the face of his pro-war decisions."

But it's the outrage I will remember . . . whenever I remember . . . the way . . . we . . . were.

Bryan Preston offers a few more clues:

In the candid remarks, Mr. Obama complains of Republican attempts to attach measures to the budget bill which would have effectively killed parts of his hard-won health care reform program.

“I said, ‘You want to repeal health care? Go at it. We’ll have that debate. You’re not going to be able to do that by nickel-and-diming me in the budget. You think we’re stupid?’” recalled the president of his closed-door negotiations on the bill to fund the federal government until September. …

Speaking into a microphone which he may not have realized was still relaying his remarks to the White House press room — where Knoller had been listening to earlier remarks that were open to the press — Mr. Obama bemoaned GOP leaders’ attempts to attach a measure to the budget bill which would have cut funding for Planned Parenthood.

I doubt the GOP thinks the president is stupid, but evidently the president does think America is stupid. Remember, we had to pass ObamaCare before we could even find out what’s in it. During the budget debate, this president and his party put controversial funding — for Planned Parenthood — ahead of funding the troops fighting our wars, including the war Obama evidently lied his way into without consulting Congress. This infantile, devious and rank partisan president then has the gall to say Republicans are politicizing the budget?

After these remarks, and after that disgracefully partisan speech on Wednesday, it’s time to shut this president down. Get the troops funded, and then shut this president down and make him put his name on the line defending every cent of the political spending he has packed into the stimulus, ObamaCare (a Democrat dream for decades, though universal health care has never been a priority with the voters), Planned Parenthood — all of it. Don’t shrink from the debate. Make him defend it all.

A clue. Obama's mystery suture may very well have been designed for inserting one, but evidently, it's never been used.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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15Apr/110

But Stillbirths Are a Problem

Planned Parenthood Founder Margaret Sanger:

And so, in the June 1935 edition of her flagship publication, Birth Control Review, in an article titled, "Birth Control in Russia," Sanger concluded:

Theoretically, there are no obstacles to birth control in Russia. It is accepted … on the grounds of health and human right…. [W]e could well take example from Russia, where there are no legal restrictions, no religious condemnation, and where birth control instruction is part of the regular welfare service of the government.

I could quote more, including this jaw-dropping prediction: "All the officials with whom I discussed the matter stated that as soon as the economic and social plans of Soviet Russia are realized, neither abortions nor contraception will be necessary or desired. A functioning Communistic society will assure the happiness of every child, and will assume the full responsibility for its welfare and education."

Now there, ladies and gentleman, is progressive utopianism, an absolute faith in central planners. Contrary to the Planned Parenthood founder's optimism, abortions skyrocketed to seven million annually in the USSR.

Contrast this with ABC's report on WHO on stillbirths:

At 4½ months pregnant, Heather Rotondi's baby bump barely shows through her black wrap dress. It's hard to imagine the outgoing 37-year-old New Jersey mom being anything but happy and calm, let alone depressed. But after her first pregnancy, she was depressed for months.

Dominic Francis Rotondi was delivered Feb. 28, 2006, a couple of weeks shy of his due date, a day Heather and Robert Rotondi now call his "angelversary." While other mothers left the hospital with balloons and babies, Rotondi, who'd had a perfectly normal pregnancy, had only a death certificate.

"I had a son, I am a mother, and I had nothing to show for it," says Rotondi.

Dominic's story is just one of 2.6 million, according to a special series published in the Lancet on Wednesday.

According to the series, which offers the first comprehensive look at the heavy global burden of stillbirths around the world, more than 7,300 stillbirths occur every day. The World Health Organization defines "stillbirth" as fetal death after 28 weeks of pregnancy. Ninety eight percent of stillbirths happen in low- and middle-income countries, and nearly half of them occur during childbirth, particularly among women who do not have access to basic medical services. But even in wealthy countries, one in 200 pregnancies results in a stillbirth.

Look, I'm upset whenever a child dies, and especially when the mother is so deeply emotionally distressed over the loss. But the duplicity of WHO apparently knows no bounds, because although the US complies with its standards for defining live births, WHO lets countries that do not self-report, and nowhere attempts to clarify the disparity in data collection.

Those who argue that the U.S. lags behind some other countries in infant mortality fail to take into account national differences in definitions of live birth. The U.S. complies with the World Health Organization standard, which requires registration of a live birth whenever an infant shows any sign of life outside the womb, regardless of birth weight, size or duration of gestation. Many countries restrict registration to cases in which these measures exceed certain limits, such as a birth weight of 500 to 1,000 grams, a crown-to-heel length of 25 to 35 centimeters, 22 to 28 weeks of gestation, or survival for a minimum amount of time. Since small and pre-term babies are more likely to die, standards that exclude these cases artificially decrease a country's infant mortality rate, making its health-care system seem better than it really is. Yet U.S. infant mortality rates are competitive, despite a much more broad definition of live birth.

Despite the whinging from the left, such as Ezra Klein's, studies commissioned to demonstrate the superiority of national health systems inevitably discover that national health systems are superior.

Ezra claims that a study from the Commonwealth Foundation concludes that of the seven countries under consideration, the US has the worst health care at the highest cost:

Years ago, the World Health Organization came out with a ranking of health systems that placed the US 37th. Over time, there's been a fair amount of controversy over the WHO's methodology, and so the Commonwealth Foundation began a new project to assemble a comparative international picture: They chose seven countries and conducted deep, ongoing polls of both patients and health-care providers. The surveys test experiences with the system, cost questions, efficiency, convenience, health outcomes and much more. The result is a comparison based not on an outsider’s methodology but on the experiences of patients and providers.

Here, too, the U.S. underperforms.

There is, in fact, a Commonwealth Foundation, but this is from the Commonwealth Fund, and though The Week corrects the source, they still use Ezra's piece to promote their view that the United States might have the very worst health care system in the whole wide world:

And while there's been much controversy over that ranking, it's pointless to refute the Commonwealth Fund's findings. This isn't a broadside from some outsider — the ratings come from our own patients and doctors.

Would the Commonwealth Fund shape its questions in such a manner as to ensure that the US gets the worst ranking of the seven countries under consideration? Here's the mission statement:

The Commonwealth Fund, among the first private foundations started by a woman philanthropist—Anna M. Harkness—was established in 1918 with the broad charge to enhance the common good.

The mission of The Commonwealth Fund is to promote a high performing health care system that achieves better access, improved quality, and greater efficiency, particularly for society's most vulnerable, including low-income people, the uninsured, minority Americans, young children, and elderly adults.

The Fund carries out this mandate by supporting independent research on health care issues and making grants to improve health care practice and policy. An international program in health policy is designed to stimulate innovative policies and practices in the United States and other industrialized countries.

Not included among the most vulnerable are the not yet born.

I'm certain that the Board of the Fund truly believe in what they're doing, but if you read the history of the institution, founded with money derived from early investments in Standard Oil, you'll see that over time its mandate has drifted inexorably left; so much so, that I doubt Ms. Harkness would recognize what it's become.

You can get a look at their blog, here.

Despite the stormy politics of health reform, in its first year the initial set of consumer protections and coverage expansions in the Affordable Care Act was welcomed by many American families. These newly enacted reforms include allowing children under age 26 to stay on or join their parents’ health insurance plans, the establishment of state-based insurance plans for people with preexisting conditions, and the availability of tax credits for small businesses that provide coverage to their employees.

In year two, which starts today, the groundwork for further coverage expansions, as well as important quality improvement and cost-control measures, will ramp up. The results of The Commonwealth Fund’s Biennial Health Insurance Survey, released last week, show that the recession has made the need for such reforms even more urgent. Nine million working-age adults became uninsured in the last two years because of the loss of a job, two of five adults had problems with medical bills, and two of five did not get needed health care because it was too expensive, according to the survey.

I'm sure that's true, too, but tellingly, there's no mention made about the general public's unhappiness with HCR as it stands, and no mention made either of the CBO manipulation that created phantom savings in the system. It's all lollipop-eyed hooey, sprinkled with absurd qualifications, such as "If skillfully implemented."

Lady, nothing this administration does is skillfully implemented. Do you think that perhaps its policies have something to do with the persistence of the recession?

Meanwhile, on his own initiative, the Judge in the Kermit Gosnell trial has issued a gag order. He has also reduced the amount of Mrs. Gosnell's bond from $1 million to $50k, and deplored the seizure of letters between the prisoner and his spouse.

In case you missed it, Stacy slapped around a tenured Trigger, and misogynist Keith Olbermann made of himself an even bigger ass than usual.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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15Apr/112

Milwaukee Elections Commission Tried Preventing Police from Securing Ballots

At least, that's the thrust of Badger Blogger Patrick Dorwin's post, here.

Sheriff David Clarke secured them anyway, over their objections, and now they're trying to prevent the one Republican on the Commission, Robert Spindell, from talking about it to the media.

Professor Hasen of the Election Law Blog is certain that the idea that there's widespread cheating in Wisconsin elections has been absolutely demolished, despite there having been 5000 more votes cast during the 2004 General Election in Milwaukee County than there were registered voters, and other such inconveniences, including the numerous ACORN-related voter fraud convictions outlined in this 5-month-old article.

Because the City of Brookfield ballots were left out of the unofficial tabulations, JoAnne Kloppenburg believed she had won the Supreme Court election by 240 votes, promptly declaring victory and expressing her confidence the minuscule lead would hold. Once Prosser took a 7300-vote lead, she determined that this needed to go to a recount.

Blaska's Blog at the Isthmus was on a roll, a couple days ago.

The do-over vote gets done in

So yes, I told Joy this morning, I understand that our progressive-liberal acquaintances (for they ARE our acquaintances) feel like they got the rug pulled out from under them. (Thereby using up my limited store of empathy.) The Left had turned the supreme court race into a referendum on Gov. Walker's collective bargaining bill and thought they had a do-over of the November election. Dancing like little sugar plums were visions of litigating every scrap of paper that came out of "FitzWalkerstan" -- all to be undone by a narrowly won 4-3 liberal majority on the court.

"Kloppenburg wins more than an election," Comrade Nichols pronounced the day after the election when a 204-vote margin -- 0.019% of the total vote -- was enough for the liberal lawyer to declare victory. "Wisconsin voters have spoken," she said.

But Prosser, a brass-knuckles pol, is unlikely to accept the gratitude and exit gracefully. He can be counted on to demand a recount. [TCT: Kloppenburg wins more than an election]

Oops! Turns out that the brass-knuckles Democrats and their unionistas are the ones who refuse to exit gracefully. Turns out they can be counted on to demand a recount. Oh, well.

Who is using "brass knuckles?"

Besieging the Capitol night and day

Threatening death to Republican lawmakers

Stealing away across the border to bring the legislative process to a halt

Litigating a bill in the courts before it even becomes law (unprecedented in Wisconsin history)

Closing down schools

Boycotting businesses that backed the wrong candidate or wouldn't post union signs in their windows

Telling targets that the police can't protect them

Defacing the Capitol and the City-County building with political signs

Committing acts of petty vandalism.

Yes, "this is what democracy looks like" to our prog-lib acquaintances (for they ARE ...)

And so Kloppenburg's backers tried to tar a sitting supreme court justice as the pederast's best friend, refusing to back down even when the victim of the abuse called the ads misleading and asked that they be taken off the air.

Those brass knuckles?

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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15Apr/115

Reality Hitting: Demography, Retirement Ages, and New Jersey

Some months back, the magazine of the Society of Actuaries, the Actuary, ran an article about a supposed epidemic of dementia that was going to sweep over Canada (and the world in general). It was written by some Canadian consultant who was trying to get the government to pay for her services (at least, that's how I read it).

I did not react well to this article. The following is the screed I hastily tossed off to the editor:

A few remarks on this article in the recent issue of The Actuary:

First, a jarring phrase in the sidebar:

This accepting attitude has allowed governments to ignore their
plight and happily accept the $25 billion a year in unpaid labor

Oh, heaven forbid that family members care for each other, when "the government" should have been picking up the tab. Oh my, we care for our autistic son when he should be institutionalized. How dare the state expect me to deal with him.

Now, clearly some people do need care beyond the physical (and mental) abilities of family members, but the fact that people with mental disabilities can be difficult to live with does not mean that it's the responsibility of "the government" to make the difficulties of life go away. I think those who colonized Canada may have thought this sentiment odd; one did not go to Canada for the harshness of life to be worn away in the swaddling embrace of the state. And certainly one did not expect someone else to take on the responsibility of caring for one's aging mother. It was a duty to do so.

But that's just a side issue, distracting from the main thrust of the article. It's not clear to me that senile dementia is actually an epidemic in normal terms. I tried to look around for some statistics on dementia incidence by age and sex, and came across many articles and abstracts. Here are a few:

http://archpsyc.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/full/55/9/809

http://www.ahaf.org/alzheimers/dementia-in-extreme-elderly.html

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/02/100224103353.htm

It seems that the issue is that dementia incidence increases with increasing age. There seems to be sex-differentials in types of dementia (for some reason women have higher incidences of Alzheimer's Disease, but men have higher incidence of vascular dementia). But in general the reason you have more female dementia sufferers is that more women survive to older ages, and older people have a much higher incidence of dementia.

So it seems that this "epidemic" is just a part of the larger mortality trends we see impacting retirement systems: people are living longer, and there are consequences to that. Yes, there is early-onset Alzheimer's Disease, but that forms a small percentage of senility issues.

And while the author gives recommendations that suspiciously sound like it would help her own organization (how convenient that I can click in the author bio and end up at her business's website), here is one of my own recommendations to help combat this issue:

Get people to work longer.

Source:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2009/may/18/alzheimers-disease-dementia-retirement

To quote the linked article:

Working beyond normal retirement age might help stave off dementia, scientists said today.

Keeping the brain active later in life appears to reduce the chances of an early onset of Alzheimer's disease, according to a study of 382 men with probable dementia. The researchers suggest a significant link between later retirement and delayed symptoms.

....

The researchers found no link between education or employment and dementia risk, but found that those who retired later prolonged their mental abilities above the threshold for dementia.

Of course, it can be that those who will have earlier dementia retire earlier due to mental difficulties, but given that life expectancy past the old "traditional" retirement ages has increased greatly over the past century, it's just good public policy in general to encourage people to work well past what used to be the age of decrepitude but is currently an age of still quite good productivity.

Another recommendation is for people to have more babies right now. Because those caring for the elderly senile population when it swells over the next few decades due to demographic patterns already baked-in will be those born right now if they want strong, young backs to help physically.

Going back to my first point, while it has been considered the duty of family to take care of each other, due to dwindling fertility, and relatively high divorce rates, ultimately it will be non-family members providing a huge amount of care to the extent that these elderly will be cared for. So it would help if there are plenty of people to work in this sector.

Or perhaps Japan will have improved robotics so well that actual human beings will not be needed.

In any case, it doesn't help to look at this "dementia epidemic" as some discrete occurrence, as it is part of the same demographic issue currently roiling Europe and soon to hit North America as well (though our fertility rates haven't cratered as badly...at least not yet).

I do understand that this author is not an actuary. But if we keep on pushing the concept of actuarial work as embracing risk management in a global sense, it does us no good to look at a problem as some isolated issue when it is part of a larger trend that is impacting so much.

I may have been a trifle exhilarated when I wrote it. In any case, the magazine printed it (pages 8-9) without many edits.

But this is a major point that many miss: people are living to much older ages now in huge numbers, and they didn't have many kids (and then there is the increasing percentage of childless women). This is going to have a huge effect on retirement and long-term care possibilities, even for the Boomers. The demographic crater will have an impact well before my generation becomes decrepit.

There needs to be a readjustment of expectations for everybody, in terms of what is feasible.

Consider the multifarious impacts of retirement age. In this analysis by Bill Zettler, retiring at age 55 compared to age 65 increases a pension cost by almost 70% by itself. The current issue of the Economist has an entire section on retirement, pensions, and public finance - their editorial accompanying the feature indicates that our retirement age expectations are still way too low.

But wait - good news! Because the economy sucks so bad, Boomers have had to readjust to the reality, and no matter what they had planned on, realize they may need to work to higher ages. If you want a wonkier overview of the issues, here's a presentation from the American Academy of Actuaries on retirement issues from a Capitol Hill briefing yesterday.

But let's make it concrete. Consider the sad case of NJ pensions. Actuary John Bury's latest post is titled The Obvious Answer to New Jersey’s Pension Mess :

Scare the retirees to death.

At least that’s what it looks like when New Jersey’s Senate president Stephen Sweeney tells retirees they could see their pensions cut by two-thirds without reforms.

The bizarre part is he’s absolutely right…..though I don’t think he really believes it.

If every retiree, current and future, had their benefits reduced by two-thirds it would indeed save the plan since the contributions are averaging about one-third of what they should be. But who would sign up for this solution?

John calls it scaring the retirees; I call it managing expectations.

A year ago, I explained how one can fulfill long-term financial promises, and how, if they're not prepared for, the promises will not be kept. People need to know as early as possible how realistic their expectations are. The various hissy fits being thrown by public unions are denials of this reality, and a refusal to admit that their expectations will not be met.

Because they won't.

If nothing else, other than not having enough rich to tax, there aren't enough people, period, to support an increasing number of non-working adults. You didn't have enough kids, Boomers. There will be consequences to that. Sucks to be you.

But hey, if you work to older ages, you can stave off some senility! Win-win!

Meep

Meep is a member of the Irish Catholic mafia, having a suspiciously high number of green-eyed, red-haired friends. While she doesn’t have red hair herself [except when she goes into the sun (rare for any vampire)], she does have green eyes. She’s a raving Papist and is a life actuary on the side [i.e., she counts dead people]. An amateur pain-in-the-ass [willing to go pro!], she likes covering retirement, mortality, math, and education issues.

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14Apr/1111

Miss Attila’s Jugs: Twin Eco-Menaces?

She raises the question.

It appears that Marks & Spencer has decided to put the imprimatur of some eco-weirdos on some of their bras:

But now Marks & Spencer has made ‘going green’ even easier as it today launched the high street’s first ever carbon neutral bra.

Part of the new Autograph Leaves lingerie collection, the retail chain has calculated the footprint of the entire range, which includes four styles of bra, three knickers and a set of suspenders.

The figure, calculated by The Carbon Trust Footprinting Certification Company, takes into account each item’s complete life cycle - from component manufacture to transportation and even the energy customers use washing and drying their underwear.

Mind you, I've argued that the eco-ratings of autos ought to be based on showroom to recycling calculations, so I do appreciate their apparent thoroughness in the matter.

My view is that what women choose to swaddle their tits in, should they choose to swaddle their tits, is no business of eco-bluenoses. If some women want to pay for the privilege of being patronised, that's entirely their business of course. There have been on occasions brassieres that probably represent a substantial environmental impact, but I don't believe that you are likely to find them at M&S.

I am afraid, though, that from the eco-warrior perspective, Miss Attila's breasts must be accounted menacing. Why? The answer will be plain once I've outlined it.

Here at the McCain-Collins Institute for Therapeutic Breast Staring, we have acquired incontrovertible evidence that visualization of breasts is good for men's health. The debate is over. The science is settled. Men who enjoy good health live longer, and therefore consume more of nature's precious resources than they would otherwise.

I'm afraid it gets worse, though. Children who are breast fed in their infancy may also acquire lifelong benefits that make them likelier to live longer, whether they're male or female. Furthermore, men (we have noticed) often find breasts so attractive that they are more desirous of copulating with women who have them, thus increasing the numbers of the virulent human virus.

Furthermore, the desire to copulate with women who have breasts causes men to do other things that consume natural resources, such as take them to dinner at a seafood restaurant, or ply them with the fruit of intensive viniculture, or to purchase muscle cars to impress them. Women, for their part, find these attentions flattering enough that they often purchase more shoes, just to mention one example, than they absolutely need (or let us just say that the concept of need is somewhat elastic here).

I have to say, it's very terrible, practically inexcusable, really, that I admire Miss Attila's boobs, but there you have it. I was poorly raised.

Three Beers Later titillates with an Eva Longoria wardrobe malfunction malfunction.

Of course, you could purchase some guilt offsets by buying a Chevy Volt. Fortunately, it's only $20k or so to replace the batteries after 5 or 6 years.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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14Apr/115

So, just what is a reduction in tax code spending?

Would you believe..?

During Mr. Obama's decidedly lackluster and unimpressive speech yesterday I found myself puzzled by a few things; maybe our kind readers can do a brother a solid and put me some knowledge.

1) Why on earth did he ask the co-chairs of his phony-baloney deficit commission to attend since he wasn't planning on acknowledging them or even talking up any of the commission's ideas in his speech ! Can you imagine how much of a chump they must have felt like?  It seemed to me that they were merely props for him to use, or not.  Which, you know, seems to me to be an apt metaphor for the commission as a whole...

2) Why would he invite Paul Ryan to this event only to openly disparage him, his plan, and assert that Ryan wished death, suffering, and all manner of hardship on children, the poor, and old people?  Was it motivated by some Chicago style, "in your face", expression of machismo that I'm unfamiliar with?  Was it like a jungle primate, demonstratively acting out to intimidate his competition (I know, I know, I'm a terrible RAAAAAAACIST! for using such a comparison-whatever...)?  Or was it simply part of Obama's culture, as the multi-culti-identity-politics-apologists often say.  Did Obama do it just so that in barbershops across the nation folks could wildly exclaim, "OOOOOOOOH, Obama done served that muthaf@&ker!"

Or, you know, maybe it's some of that "New Kind of Politics" that he always droned on about during the 2008 campaign, and I just don't recognize the "new tone" or "CIVILITY NOW!" style of expression...

3) And seriously, what is up with making up yet another po-mo euphemism; just what exactly is a "reduction in tax code spending"?  Sounds an awful lot like a tax increase to me.  And here I thought the official code words for that in Democrat lexicon was "investments".  I wonder when the Democrat's guide to lying style guide officially stopped recommending Mr. Clinton's favorite characterization...

But then, maybe Obama needed to be able to talk about reducing some kind of spending, other than defense spending that is, in order to get the point across to all the rubes that he, Captain Kickazz, was the true-blue deficit busting budget hawk.  'Cuz he used the word "reduction"...

Of course, it's more of the same old BS he's always been full of.  Dan linked to many reactions earlier, but I'll add a couple of notable ones; the editors of the WSJ characterized the speech as the most dishonest in decades, and Krauthammer used just about every synonym for "lie" that he could, without saying so directly.  The speech was all about optics, and devoid of substance.  It was a rehashing of all of the platitudes we've heard, ad nauseam.

Obamacare is going to save the government money...Right.

We have to further cut back our defense spending (Surprise! Gates!, and you thought the cuts you'd made so far were impressive).

We have to spend more, to save...

Oh, and his old favorite, "we have to raise taxes on the rich!".

The last one makes me laugh especially; here's why. I've been crunching some IRS supplied numbers lately, to consider this argument fairly (more on that to come).  It turns out that his critics are correct, that all of the taxable income of those who make more than 200k/yr in our nation, not including dividends and capital gains, amounts to approximately 1.2 trillion dollars.  Presumably, we already receive about 1/3 of that as revenue, so even of the government seized all income in excess of 200k/yr there would still remain a deficit of 1/2 to 3/4 of a trillion dollars! So where do you think they'd have to go to get that?

This reveals the larger lie behind all of Obama's class warfare rhetoric.  There is simply not enough money to seize from the rich alone to balance the budget, no matter what Michael Moore says.  That will have to come on the backs of the middle class.  Which brings me to a perhaps even more disturbing, underlying, mindset that Obama's newest euphemism reveals; the assumption that all GDP belongs to the government a priori, and they benevolently decide how much to let you keep.  I can't reason out any other way to interpret the association of "spending" with lowering tax rates, although I've heard too often the excuse that it's a benign, wonkish, accounting expression.  No, it either refers to the disturbing idea I referred to, or, Obama's willfully lying to suit his purposes.  Either way, I'm not satisfied.

What do you think, kind reader?

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14Apr/111

Unexpectedly 4-14-11

MSNBC:

New claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, bouncing back above the key 400,000 level, while core producer prices clumbed [obs. rare variant] faster than expected in March, government reports showed on Thursday.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 412,000, the Labor Department said.

This follows the pattern observed by Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge that we wrote about here.

More from the same article:

U.S. core producer prices rose slightly faster than expected in March and the increase from a year ago was the largest since August 2009, pointing to a broadening in pipeline inflation pressures.

The Labor Department said on Thursday its seasonally adjusted index for prices paid at the farm and factory gate - excluding volatile food and energy costs—rose 0.3 percent after gaining 0.2 percent in February.

Economists had expected core PPI to rise 0.2 percent in March.

[emphasis mine]

Via Coalition of the Swilling:

La Malkin has related thoughts about (that meep commentary favorite) the retirement age.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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14Apr/110

16 Tamaulipas, Mexico Police Arrested for Aiding Zetas Narco-Syndicate Mass Murder

Via Borderland Beat:

The bodies of victims abducted at false "narco" checkpoints from buses traveling through the town of San Fernando, Tamaulipas and murdered at the hands of Los Zetas continue to be uncovered. The body count as of Wednesday stood at 126 with the location of another 10 bodies. Mexican media reports speculate that as many as 300 victims may have been murdered and disposed of in the latest abductions.

It is feared that hundreds more, if not thousands, may be buried in "narco fosas" throughout this area of Tamaulipas, a land where in the words of Ricardo Aleman of El Excelsior, "The criminal bands make a living out of 'The Industry of Death'."

An unnamed witness, a bus driver, states in the “El Universal” video posted below that bus drivers whose passengers were taken in “narco” checkpoints were fearful of filing police reports because they were aware of police complicity in the abductions.

The witness added that the abductions of victims travelling by bus had been occurring for the past 6 to 8 weeks.

According to the witness, women of all ages were also taken off buses, undressed and raped and then abducted.

Read the whole thing, but don't bother Janet "Dirt" Napolitano.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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14Apr/110

Those Texas Wildfires

Aren't being given much coverage in the MSM. Most of what I've seen has been in Texas papers and financial papers.

Forecasters expect the wildfire potential across the western half of Texas to expand and become more explosive Thursday.

The area of significant fire potential, which had been confined mostly to West Texas and the Texas Panhandle this week, will expand to include North, Central and South Texas on Thursday, according to a Texas Forest Service statement. The expanded high-risk area will be generally west of a line extended from just west of Dallas-Fort Worth to Fredericksburg and Del Rio, according to the agency.

A persistent drought combined with an overabundance of tinder-dry vegetation made for a catastrophic combination this week. The Forest Service has responded to 81 fires in the past seven days that have charred almost 700 square miles. More than 900 firefighters from across the state and 33 other states have been called in to battle the fires.

"The last week has been bad, but now even more people will be at risk. The wildfires could reach down into more densely populated areas," said Tom Spencer, head of predictive services at the Forest Service.

Fortunately, Obama has moved swiftly to declare Hawaii a major disaster area to deal with the horrifying effects of the Japanese tsunami there.

Honestly, though, what can we expect? Haven't the seas stopped rising under Obama's presidency?

There's more bad news for Texas (especially the western part) and the Southwest generally in NOAA's extended forecast for this summer, which sees higher temps and lower precipitation there.

Oh, well. Up here in Vermont, they're predicting slightly higher than average temps and rainfall, which means good mushrooming.

Also in the financial news, how's that BP thing coming along?

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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14Apr/112

Keeps him searching for a cache of gold . . .

I hope Neil Young will remember . . . hey, what's he doing in the UK?

At the HuffPo, a poll finds that 54% of Americans think the taxes they pay are fair. Naturally, the poll only includes Americans who actually pay federal taxes, right? Right?

Related would be Jimmie's round-up of commentary on the President's speech regarding the fiscal crisis what crisis? Dan Riehl has related thoughts, and Professor Jacobson's brought out the hickory.

At LMA's, Stacy's thoughts on the HuffPo guide to blogging.

Big, awesome overnight open thread by Maetenloch at Ace's yesterday.

Wild-eyed radical Claire Berlinski.

Remember that color-coded map of Wisconsin that I wanted, breaking down the shift from Walker/Barrett in November to Prosser/Kloppenburg in April? Fairly Conservative already has it. As of yesterday, Milwaukee still hadn't reported their canvass, but Prosser was still leading by over 7000. Worth reading the comments, too.

"If a conservative or religious group were as reckless as GLSEN in exposing impressionable children to hard-core perversion and pornography, needless to say they'd be out of business and drummed out of the pro-family movement," LaBarbera told WND.

Dan Collins

Dan Collins is a dude who blogs. He used to blog elsewhere. Now he blogs here.

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